Publications of Ricarda Winkelmann

Bauer, N.; Keller, D. P.; Garbe, J.; Karstens, K.; Piontek, F.; von Bloh, W.; Thiery, W.; Zeitz, M.; Mengel, M.; Strefler, J. et al.; Thonicke, K.; Winkelmann, R.: Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time. Environmental Research Letters 18 (5), 054015, pp. 1 - 19 (2023)

Roberts, P.; Kaplan, J.; Findley, D. M.; Hamilton, R.; Caetano Andrade, V. L.; Amano, N.; Kay, A.; Renn, J.; Winkelmann, R.: Mapping our reliance on the tropics can reveal the roots of the Anthropocene. Nature Ecology & Evolution 7, s41559-023-01998-x, pp. 632 - 636 (2023)

Obura, D. O.; DeClerck, F.; Verburg, P. H.; Gupta, J.; Abrams, J. F.; Bai, X.; Bunn, S.; Ebi, K. L.; Gifford, L.; Gordon, C. et al.; Jacobson, L.; Lenton, T. M.; Liverman, D.; Mohamed, A.; Prodani, K.; Rocha, J. C.; Rockström, J.; Sakschewski, B.; Stewart-Koster, B.; van Vuuren, D.; Winkelmann, R.; Zimm, C.: Achieving a nature- and people-positive future. One Earth 6 (2), 2022.11.013, pp. 105 - 117 (2023)

Garbe, J.; Zeitz, M.; Krebs-Kanzow, U.; Winkelmann, R.: The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple. The Cryosphere 17 (11), 17-4571-2023, pp. 4571 - 4599 (2023)

Seroussi, H.; Verjans, V.; Nowicki, S.; Payne, A. J.; Goelzer, H.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Agosta, C.; Albrecht, T.; Asay-Davis, X. et al.; Barthel, A.; Calov, R.; Cullather, R.; Dumas, C.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Gregory, J. M.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huybrechts, P.; Jourdain, N. C.; Kleiner, T.; Larour, E.; Leguy, G. R.; Lowry, D. P.; Little, C. M.; Morlighem, M.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Reese, R.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Shepherd, A.; Simon, E.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Trusel, L. D.; Van Breedam, J.; Van Katwyk, P.; van de Wal, R. S. W.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty. The Cryosphere 17 (12), 17-5197-2023, pp. 5197 - 5217 (2023)

Wunderling, N.; Winkelmann, R.; Rockström, J.; Loriani, S.; McKay, A.; I., D.; Ritchie, P. D. L.; Sakschewski, B.; Donges, J. F.: Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model. Nature Climate Change 13 (1), s41558-022-01545-9, pp. 75 - 82 (2023)

Armstrong McKay, D. I.; Staal, A.; Abrams, J. F.; Winkelmann, R.; Sakschewski, B.; Loriani, S.; Fetzer, I.; Cornell, S. E.; Rockström, J.; Lenton, T. M.: Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science 377 (6611), eabn7950, pp. 1 - 10 (2022)

Wunderling, N.; Staal, A.; Sakschewski, B.; Hirota, M.; Tuinenburg, O. A.; Donges, J. F.; Barbosa, H. M. J.; Winkelmann, R.: Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119 (32), e2120777119, pp. 1 - 11 (2022)

Winkelmann, R.; Nicola, L.; Notz, D.: The antarctic ice sheet - a sleeping giant? Frontiers for Young Minds, 702643 (2022)

Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.; Smith, E. K.; Milkoreit, M.; Eder, C.; Heitzig, J.; Katsanidou, A.; Wiedermann, M.; Wunderling, N.; Lenton, T. M.: Social tipping processes towards climate action: a conceptual framework. Ecological Economics 192, 107242 (2022)

Durand, G.; van den Broeke, M. R.; Le Cozannet, G.; Edwards, T. L.; Holland, P. R.; Jourdain, N. C.; Marzeion, B.; Mottram, R.; Nicholls, R. J.; Pattyn, F. et al.; Paul, F.; Slangen, A. B. A.; Winkelmann, R.; Burgard, C.; van Calcar, C. J.; Barré, J.-B.; Bataille, A.; Chapuis, A.: Sea-level rise: from global perspectives to local services. Frontiers in Marine Science 8, 709595 (2022)

Feldmann, J.; Reese, R.; Winkelmann, R.; Levermann, A.: Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations. The Cryosphere 16 (5), tc-16-1927-2022, pp. 1927 - 1940 (2022)

Schlemm, T.; Feldmann, J.; Winkelmann, R.; Levermann, A.: Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the marine ice-cliff instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. The Cryosphere 16 (5), tc-16-1979-2022, pp. 1979 - 1996 (2022)

Zeitz, M.; Haacker, J. M.; Donges, J. F.; Albrecht, T.; Winkelmann, R.: Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt-elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks. Earth System Dynamics 13 (3), esd-13-1077-2022, pp. 1077 - 1096 (2022)

Ciemer, C.; Winkelmann, R.; Kurths, J.; Boers, N.: Impact of an AMOC weakening on the stability of the southern Amazon rainforest. European Physical Journal - Special Topics 230 (14), s11734-021-00186-x, pp. 3065 - 3073 (2021)

Wunderling, N.; Krönke, J.; Wohlfarth, V.; Kohler, J.; Heitzig, J.; Staal, A.; Willner, S.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package. European Physical Journal - Special Topics 230 (14), s11734-021-00155-4, pp. 3163 - 3176 (2021)

Payne, A. J.; Nowicki, S.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Agosta, C.; Alexander, P.; Albrecht, T.; Asay-Davis, X.; Aschwanden, A.; Barthel, A.; Bracegirdle, T. J. et al.; Calov, R.; Chambers, C.; Choi, Y.; Cullather, R.; Cuzzone, J.; Dumas, C.; Edwards, T. L.; Felikson, D.; Fettweis, X.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Goelzer, H.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Gregory, J. M.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huybrechts, P.; Jourdain, N. C.; Kleiner, T.; Munneke, P. K.; Larour, E.; Le clec'h, S.; Lee, V.; Leguy, G.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Little, C. M.; Lowry, D. P.; Morlighem, M.; Nias, I.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Reese, R.; Rückamp, M.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Seroussi, H.; Shepherd, A.; Simon, E.; Slater, D.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Tarasov, L.; Trusel, L. D.; Van Breedam, J.; van de Wal, R.; van den Broeke, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: Future sea level change under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Geophysical Research Letters 48 (16), e2020GL091741, pp. 497 - 510 (2021)

Edwards, T. L.; Nowicki, S.; Marzeion, B.; Hock, R.; Goelzer, H.; Seroussi, H.; Jourdain, N. C.; Slater, D. A.; Turner, F. E.; Smith, C. J. et al.; McKenna, C. M.; Simon, E.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Gregory, J. M.; Larour, E.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Payne, A. J.; Shepherd, A.; Agosta, C.; Alexander, P.; Albrecht, T.; Anderson, B.; Asay-Davis, X.; Aschwanden, A.; Barthel, A.; Bliss, A.; Calov, R.; Chambers, C.; Champollion, N.; Choi, Y.; Cullather, R.; Cuzzone, J.; Dumas, C.; Felikson, D.; Fettweis, X.; Fujita, K.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huss, M.; Huybrechts, P.; Immerzeel, W.; Kleiner, T.; Kraaijenbrink, P.; Le clec’h, S.; Lee, V.; Leguy, G. R.; Little, C. M.; Lowry, D. P.; Malles, J.-H.; Martin, D. F.; Maussion, F.; Morlighem, M.; O’Neill, J. F.; Nias, I.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Radić, V.; Reese, R.; Rounce, D. R.; Rückamp, M.; Sakai, A.; Shafer, C.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Shannon, S.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Tarasov, L.; Trusel, L. D.; Van Breedam, J.; van de Wal, R.; van den Broeke, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Zekollari, H.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise. Nature 593 (7857), s41586-021-03302-y, pp. 74 - 82 (2021)

Rockström, J.; Gupta, J.; Lenton, T. M.; Qin, D.; Lade, S. J.; Abrams, J. F.; Jacobson, L.; Rocha, J. C.; Zimm, C.; Bai, X. et al.; Bala, G.; Bringezu, S.; Broadgate, W.; Bunn, S. E.; DeClerck, F.; Ebi, K. L.; Gong, P.; Gordon, C.; Kanie, N.; Liverman, D. M.; Nakicenovic, N.; Obura, D.; Ramanathan, V.; Verburg, P. H.; van Vuuren, D. P.; Winkelmann, R.: Identifying a safe and just corridor for people and the planet. Earth's Future 9 (4), e2020EF001866 (2021)

Klose, A. K.; Wunderling, N.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’? Environmental Research Letters 16 (12), 125011, pp. 1 - 12 (2021)